subjective probability

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• Subjective Probability — A probability derived from an individual s personal judgment about whether a specific outcome is likely to occur. Subjective probabilities contain no formal calculations and only reflect the subject s opinions and past experience. Subjective… …   Investment dictionary

• Subjective expected utility — is a method in decision theory in the presence of risk, originally put forward by L. J. Savage in 1954 [Savage, Leonard J. 1954. The Foundations of Statistics . New York, Wiley.] . It combines two distinct subjective concepts: a personal utility… …   Wikipedia

• probability theory — Math., Statistics. the theory of analyzing and making statements concerning the probability of the occurrence of uncertain events. Cf. probability (def. 4). [1830 40] * * * Branch of mathematics that deals with analysis of random events.… …   Universalium

• Probability interpretations — The word probability has been used in a variety of ways since it was first coined in relation to games of chance. Does probability measure the real, physical tendency of something to occur, or is it just a measure of how strongly one believes it… …   Wikipedia

• Subjective logic — is a type of probabilistic logic that explicitly takes uncertainty and belief ownership into account. In general, subjective logic is suitable for modeling and analysing situations involving uncertainty and incomplete knowledgeA. Jøsang.… …   Wikipedia

• Probability theory — is the branch of mathematics concerned with analysis of random phenomena.[1] The central objects of probability theory are random variables, stochastic processes, and events: mathematical abstractions of non deterministic events or measured… …   Wikipedia

• Subjective — may refer to: * Subjectivity, a subject s perspective, particularly feelings, beliefs, and desires *Subjective experience, the sensory buzz and awareness associated with a conscious mind *Subjective case, grammatical case for a noun *Subject… …   Wikipedia

• Probability — The likelihood that something will happen. For example, a probability of less than .05 indicates that the probability of something occurring by chance alone is less than 5 in 100, or 5 percent. This level of probability is usually taken as the… …   Medical dictionary

• probability and statistics — ▪ mathematics Introduction       the branches of mathematics concerned with the laws governing random events, including the collection, analysis, interpretation, and display of numerical data. Probability has its origin in the study of gambling… …   Universalium

• probability — The likelihood that a particular outcome will occur, on a scale of 0 (zero probability or certainty that it will not occur) to 1 (certainty that it will occur). Where probabilities are used in decision making models they are usually subjective in …   Accounting dictionary

• subjective probabilities — probabilities ( probability) that are determined subjectively (for example, on the basis of judgment rather than statistical sampling). Bloomberg Financial Dictionary …   Financial and business terms